Tilmann Gneiting

Karlsruhe Institute of Technology — Germany

Earth and Planetary Sciences · Physical Sciences

57h-index23.5kcitations194works4.32yr avg
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Research Topics

Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations(63), Climate variability and models(45), Forecasting Techniques and Applications(32), Hydrology and Drought Analysis(30), Soil Geostatistics and Mapping(27)

Publications193 total

Probabilistic Measures Afford Fair Comparisons of AIWP and NWP Model Output
Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems·2025
Assessing Monotone Dependence: Area Under the Curve Meets Rank Correlation
arXiv (Cornell University)·2025Open Access
Probabilistic measures afford fair comparisons of AIWP and NWP model output
arXiv (Cornell University)·2025Open Access
Enhancing the Statistical Evaluation of Earthquake Forecasts—An Application to Italy
Seismological Research Letters·2024· 6 cited
Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021
UNC Libraries·2024Open Access
Physics-Based vs Data-Driven 24-Hour Probabilistic Forecasts of Precipitation for Northern Tropical Africa
Monthly Weather Review·2024· 4 cited
Enhancing the statistical evaluation of earthquake forecasts -- An application to Italy
arXiv (Cornell University)·2024Open Access
Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021
PLoS Computational Biology·2024· 28 citedOpen Access
Can convection permitting forecasts solve the tropical African precipitation forecasting problem?
2024Open Access
Easy Uncertainty Quantification (EasyUQ): Generating Predictive Distributions from Single-Valued Model Output
SIAM Review·2024· 7 citedOpen Access
Physics-based vs. data-driven 24-hour probabilistic forecasts of precipitation for northern tropical Africa
arXiv (Cornell University)·2024Open Access
Decompositions of the mean continuous ranked probability score
Electronic Journal of Statistics·2024· 6 citedOpen Access
Decompositions of the mean continuous ranked probability score
arXiv (Cornell University)·2023· 2 citedOpen Access
Evaluating probabilistic classifiers: The triptych
International Journal of Forecasting·2023· 9 citedOpen Access
Sources of predictability of synoptic‐scale rainfall during the West African summer monsoon
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society·2023· 4 citedOpen Access
Comparative evaluation of point process forecasts
Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics·2023· 5 citedOpen Access
Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021
2023· 3 citedOpen Access
Probabilistic solar forecasting: Benchmarks, post-processing, verification
Solar Energy·2023· 49 citedOpen Access
Evaluating Probabilistic Classifiers: The Triptych
arXiv (Cornell University)·2023· 3 citedOpen Access
Regression diagnostics meets forecast evaluation: conditional calibration, reliability diagrams, and coefficient of determination
Electronic Journal of Statistics·2023· 42 citedOpen Access
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Frequent Co-authors

Adrian E. Raftery(15), Johannes Bracher(6), Evan L Ray(4), Ajitesh Srivastava(4), Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir(4), Veronica J. Berrocal(4), Estee Y. Cramer(3), Andrea Brennen(3), Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira(3), Aaron Gerding(3), Katie House(3), Yuxin Huang(3), Jimeng Sun(3), Abdul Hannan Kanji(3), Ayush Khandelwal(3), Khoa Le(3), Anja Mühlemann(3), Jarad Niemi(3), Apurv Shah(3), Ariane Stark(3)