Paul Birrell

National Security Agency — United States

Mathematics · Physical Sciences

26h-index2.7kcitations85works4.72yr avg
OpenAlex↗ORCID↗Google Scholar↗Lab page↗

Accepting Students?

No reports yet. Know if this professor is taking students?

Research Topics

COVID-19 epidemiological studies(43), Influenza Virus Research Studies(26), Data-Driven Disease Surveillance(19), SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research(15), COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies(13)

Publications84 total

Daniela De Angelis' invited contribution to the Discussion of ‘Some statistical aspects of the Covid-19 response’ by Wood et al. with contributions from Joel Kandian and Paul Birrell
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society)·2025Open Access
Paul Birrell, Joel Kandiah, and Daniela De Angelis’ contribution to the Discussion of ‘Some statistical aspects of the Covid-19 response’ by Wood et al.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society)·2025Open Access
Inferring epidemics from multiple dependent data via pseudo-marginal methods
The Annals of Applied Statistics·2025Open Access
The cumulative incidence and infection hospitalization risk of SARS-CoV-2 by variant: a longitudinal study in England
UCL Discovery (University College London)·2025
The cumulative incidence and infection hospitalization risk of SARS-CoV-2 by variant: a longitudinal study in England
American Journal of Epidemiology·2025
Contact data and SARS-CoV-2: Retrospective analysis of the estimated impact of the first UK lockdown
Journal of Theoretical Biology·2025· 1 citedOpen Access
A computationally efficient framework for realistic epidemic modelling through Gaussian Markov random fields
arXiv (Cornell University)·2025Open Access
Real-time modelling of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in England 2020–2023: a challenging data integration
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society)·2025· 4 cited
Modelling with SPEED: a Stochastic Predictor of Early Epidemic Detection
Journal of Theoretical Biology·2025Open Access
Estimating the duration of RT-PCR positivity for SARS-CoV-2 from doubly interval censored data with undetected infections
arXiv (Cornell University)·2025Open Access
The lifebelt particle filter for robust estimation from low-valued count data
Foundations of Data Science·2024Open Access
Real-time modelling of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in England 2020-2023: a challenging data integration
arXiv (Cornell University)·2024· 3 citedOpen Access
Improving the representativeness of UK’s national COVID-19 Infection Survey through spatio-temporal regression and post-stratification
Nature Communications·2024· 7 citedOpen Access
Sample-efficient neural likelihood-free Bayesian inference of implicit HMMs
arXiv (Cornell University)·2024Open Access
Combining models to generate consensus medium-term projections of hospital admissions, occupancy and deaths relating to COVID-19 in England
Royal Society Open Science·2024· 6 citedOpen Access
SARS-CoV-2, influenza A/B and respiratory syncytial virus positivity and association with influenza-like illness and self-reported symptoms, over the 2022/23 winter season in the UK: a longitudinal surveillance cohort
BMC Medicine·2024· 14 citedOpen Access
Author response for "Combining models to generate consensus medium-term projections of hospital admissions, occupancy and deaths relating to COVID-19 in England"
2024
Risk of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection during multiple Omicron variant waves in the UK general population
Nature Communications·2024· 55 citedOpen Access
Contact Data and Sars-Cov-2: Retrospective Analysis of the Estimated Impact of the First UK Lockdown
SSRN Electronic Journal·2024· 3 citedOpen Access
Modelling with Speed: A Stochastic Predictor of Early Epidemic Detection
SSRN Electronic Journal·2024Open Access
page 1 of 5Next →

Frequent Co-authors

Daniela De Angelis(30), Thomas House(22), Koen B. Pouwels(20), A. Sarah Walker(20), Emma Pritchard(17), Karina-Doris Vihta(17), Ian Diamond(16), Philippa C. Matthews(15), Ruth Studley(15), Julie V. Robotham(15), Nicole Stoesser(14), John I. Bell(14), John Newton(14), David W. Eyre(14), Tim Peto(13), Jodie Hay(12), Jeremy Farrar(11), Emma Rourke(11), Joel W. Jones(11), Derrick W. Crook(10)