Ian Belton

University of Strathclyde — United Kingdom

Decision Sciences · Social Sciences

10h-index823citations38works1.32yr avg
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Research Topics

Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics(9), Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis(6), Forecasting Techniques and Applications(6), Delphi Technique in Research(6), Team Dynamics and Performance(5)

Publications38 total

Adapting Scenario Planning to Create an Expectation for Surprises: Going Beyond Probability and Plausibility in Risk Assessment
Risk Analysis·2025Open Access
Risk Modelling for Remote Communities: An Inuit-driven Bayesian Network Approach to Enhance Search and Rescue Operations in Arctic Canada
Proceedings of the ... International ISCRAM Conference·2025Open Access
Designing a Bayesian Urgency Assessment Tool for Search and Rescue in the Canadian Arctic
Proceedings of the ... International ISCRAM Conference·2025· 1 citedOpen Access
Effects of task structure and confirmation bias in alternative hypotheses evaluation
Cognitive Research Principles and Implications·2024· 1 citedOpen Access
Issue Information
Journal of Empirical Legal Studies·2024Open Access
The role of <scp>character‐based</scp> personal mitigation in sentencing judgments
Journal of Empirical Legal Studies·2024· 6 citedOpen Access
Technical report: Development of an alternative hypotheses evaluation task set
2023Open Access
The value of experiments in futures and foresight science: A reply
Futures & Foresight Science·2023· 1 citedOpen Access
Virtuous opinion change in structured groups
Judgment and Decision Making·2023· 3 citedOpen Access
The value of experiments in futures and foresight science as illustrated by the case of scenario planning
Futures & Foresight Science·2022· 6 citedOpen Access
Estimating the major replacement rates in next-generation offshore wind turbines using structured expert elicitation.
Journal of Physics Conference Series·2022· 14 citedOpen Access
A critical evaluation of 42, large‐scale, science and technology foresight Delphi surveys
Futures & Foresight Science·2022· 11 cited
Structured groups make more accurate veracity judgements than individuals
Applied Cognitive Psychology·2021· 2 citedOpen Access
Delphi with feedback of rationales: How large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?
Technological Forecasting and Social Change·2021· 42 citedOpen Access
The effect of Delphi group size and opinion diversity on participant experience
2021· 1 cited
Routledge Handbook of Bounded Rationality
2020· 102 cited
Cognitive biases and debiasing in intelligence analysis
2020· 1 citedOpen Access
Cognitive biases and debiasing in intelligence analysis
2020· 9 citedOpen Access
The Simulated Group Response Paradigm: A new approach to the study of opinion change in Delphi and other structured-group techniques
2020· 5 citedOpen Access
Improving the production and evaluation of structural models using a Delphi process
2020
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Frequent Co-authors

Mandeep K. Dhami(22), George Wright(9), Iain Hamlin(9), Aileen Sissons(9), Fergus Bolger(9), Megan M. Crawford(9), Alexandrina Vasilichi(9), Courtney Taylor Browne Lūka(6), Dilek Önkal(4), Gene Rowe(4), James Derbyshire(3), Lesley Walls(3), Courtney Taylor Browne(3), Jane Goodman‐Delahunty(2), Kathryn E. Careless(2), Lars Wicke(2), Erik Nyberg(2), Ann E. Nicholson(2), Shreshth Thakur(2), George W. Wright(2)