Ezra Karger

Decision Sciences · Social Sciences

10h-index546citations70works0.92yr avg
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Research Topics

Forecasting Techniques and Applications(22), Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics(8), Crime Patterns and Interventions(8), School Choice and Performance(6), COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts(6)

Publications70 total

Psychometric Measurement of Forecasters Using the Wisdom of Crowds
2026Open Access
Psychometric Measurement of Forecasters Using the Wisdom of Crowds
PsyArXiv (OSF Preprints)·2026Open Access
Psychometric Measurement of Forecasters Using the Wisdom of Crowds
2026Open Access
Psychometric Measurement of Forecasters Using the Wisdom of Crowds
Arabixiv (OSF Preprints)·2026Open Access
Psychometric Measurement of Forecasters Using the Wisdom of Crowds
2025Open Access
The Forecasting Proficiency Test: A General Use Assessment of Forecasting Ability
2025Open Access
The Forecasting Proficiency Test: A General Use Assessment of Forecasting Ability
2025Open Access
The Forecasting Proficiency Test: A General Use Assessment of Forecasting Ability
2025Open Access
Self-Resolving Prediction Markets for Unverifiable Outcomes
2025Open Access
The Forecasting Proficiency Test: A General Use Assessment of Forecasting Ability
2025Open Access
The Forecasting Proficiency Test: A General Use Assessment of Forecasting Ability
2025Open Access
The Forecasting Proficiency Test: A General Use Assessment of Forecasting Ability
2025Open Access
The Forecasting Proficiency Test: A General Use Assessment of Forecasting Ability
2025Open Access
The Psychometric Properties of Probability and Quantile Forecasts
2025Open Access
Large Language Models Are More Persuasive Than Incentivized Human Persuaders
ArXiv.org·2025· 2 citedOpen Access
Belief updating in AI‐risk debates: Exploring the limits of adversarial collaboration
Risk Analysis·2025· 1 cited
Tell Me Why: Incentivizing Explanations
arXiv (Cornell University)·2025Open Access
Subjective-probability forecasts of existential risk: Initial results from a hybrid persuasion-forecasting tournament
International Journal of Forecasting·2025· 2 cited
Blending traditional and alternative labor market data with CHURN
Chicago Fed Letter·2025
M&A and the Rise in Industry Concentration
SSRN Electronic Journal·2025Open Access
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Frequent Co-authors

Mark Himmelstein(10), Nikolay Angelov(8), Andrew Jordan(7), Derek Neal(7), Sophie Ma Zhu(7), Jessica Helmer(7), Peter Nencka(5), Philip E. Tetlock(5), Philipp Schoenegger(4), Philip E. Tetlock(4), Simcha Barkai(4), Sivan Livnat(4), A. I. Bennett(4), Page Hedley(4), Phil Tetlock(4), Diane Alexander(3), Peter S. Park(3), Pavel Atanasov(3), Scott A. Brave(3), Tania Babina(3)